Pinker’s Chapter 6 supplement — Africa’s wars are not explained by poverty, ethnicity, or religion alone
Pinker’s 2011 synthesis places many late-twentieth- and early-twenty-first-century conflicts in a low-income arc running through Central and East Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia. But he rejects the simple story that poor people inevitably fight over scarce resources. War also produces poverty; oil and diamonds can create a resource curse by concentrating control and financing armed rivals; and weak, unstable states can make small insurgencies viable. In the Fearon–Laitin analysis he summarizes, civil war was associated with large populations, mountainous terrain, new or unstable governments, oil exports, and perhaps a high share of young men—not, after the stated controls, with ethnic or religious diversity, language discrimination, or income inequality.
Figure 6-5 — Armed-conflict sites in 2008 and countries containing the “bottom billion.” The map is a dated cross-section, not a current African-conflict map and not a causal test. Pinker’s larger mechanism is reciprocal: poverty, weak state capacity, predatory government, contraband, foreign sponsorship, and war can reinforce one another. That makes the relevant question which mechanism is operating in a particular conflict, not which religion or ethnic identity appears in a table. Chapter 6 synthesis · Poverty and civil-war risk, PDF pp. 429–431 (file not included in this release) · Figure 6-5, PDF p. 432 (file not included in this release) · Anocracy, the resource curse, and insurgency, PDF pp. 436–440 (file not included in this release)
Here is a table of major wars and conflicts in Africa that have occurred in the 21st century, based on the provided search results:
| War/Conflict | Years | Countries Involved | Estimated Deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| Second Congo War | 1998-2003 | Democratic Republic of Congo, Angola, Namibia, Zimbabwe, Rwanda, Uganda | 3-5 million [1][11] |
| War in Darfur | 2003-Present | Sudan, Sudan Liberation Movement, Justice and Equality Movement | 300,000+ [11] |
| Boko Haram Insurgency | 2009-Present | Nigeria, Cameroon, Niger, Chad | 350,000+ [11][12] |
| Somali Civil War | 1991-Present | Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, African Union | 500,000+ [6][10] |
| South Sudanese Civil War | 2013-2020 | South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda | 400,000+ [5][10] |
| Central African Republic Civil War | 2012-Present | Central African Republic, Chad, France, Russia | 6,000+ [5][7] |
| Mali War | 2012-Present | Mali, France, Chad, Niger, Mauritania | 6,000+ [5][10] |
| Tigray War | 2020-2022 | Ethiopia, Eritrea, Tigray | 500,000+ [7][10] |
| Cabo Delgado Insurgency | 2017-Present | Mozambique, Rwanda, SADC | 4,000+ [5][7] |
| Anglophone Crisis | 2017-Present | Cameroon | 6,000+ [7][10] |
This table includes major wars and insurgencies that have resulted in significant casualties and displacement in the 21st century across different regions of Africa. The death tolls are estimates from various sources and may vary. [1][5][6][7][10][11][12]
Citations:
[1] https://ruafrica.rutgers.edu/resources/graduate-and-post-doc-research/african-wars-in-the-21st-century
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_conflicts_in_Africa
[3] https://www.elgaronline.com/edcollchap/book/9781802207798/book-part-9781802207798-8.xml
[4] https://press.un.org/en/2023/sc15249.doc.htm
[5] https://issafrica.org/pscreport/psc-insights/african-conflicts-to-watch-in-2022
[6] https://online.norwich.edu/online/about/resource-library/five-major-african-wars-and-conflicts-twentieth-century
[7] https://www.hrw.org/news/2023/01/12/africa-conflicts-violence-threaten-rights
[8] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Congo_War
[9] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Civil_wars_of_the_21st_century
[10] https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/countries-currently-at-war
[11] https://www.britannica.com/list/8-deadliest-wars-of-the-21st-century
[12] https://pressbooks.ccconline.org/the-world-1500-present/chapter/africa-in-the-21st-century/
[13] https://www.nrc.no/news/2022/june/the-worlds-ten-most-neglected-crises-are-all-in-africa/
[14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/21/a-guide-to-the-decades-long-conflict-in-dr-congo
[15] https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/10-conflicts-watch-2024
[16] https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/heres-list-ongoing-wars-around-world-2024-sorted-size-rodolfo-delgado-bybme
Here is an updated table that includes the religion and type of government for each side in the major wars and conflicts in Africa over the last five years:
| War/Conflict | Years | Countries Involved | Estimated Deaths | Key Details | Religion | Type of Government |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigray War | 2020-2022 | Ethiopia, Eritrea, Tigray | 500,000+ | Conflict between Ethiopian federal government and Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), with Eritrean involvement | Ethiopian Orthodox, Islam, Protestant (Ethiopia); Eritrean Orthodox, Islam (Eritrea); Ethiopian Orthodox (Tigray) | Federal parliamentary republic (Ethiopia); One-party state (Eritrea); Regional government (Tigray) |
| Cabo Delgado Insurgency | 2017-Present | Mozambique, Rwanda, SADC | 4,000+ | Islamist insurgency in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province, involving Ansar al-Sunna Wa Jamma (ASWJ) | Islam (Insurgents); Christianity, Islam (Mozambique) | Presidential republic (Mozambique); Presidential republic (Rwanda) |
| Anglophone Crisis | 2017-Present | Cameroon | 6,000+ | Conflict between Cameroonian government and Anglophone separatists in the Northwest and Southwest regions | Christianity, Islam (Cameroon); Christianity (Separatists) | Presidential republic (Cameroon); Separatist movements |
| Central African Republic Civil War | 2012-Present | Central African Republic, Chad, France, Russia | 6,000+ | Ongoing conflict involving government forces and various rebel groups, including anti-Balaka and ex-Séléka | Christianity, Islam (CAR); Islam (ex-Séléka); Christianity (anti-Balaka) | Presidential republic (CAR); Rebel groups |
| Mali War | 2012-Present | Mali, France, Chad, Niger, Mauritania | 6,000+ | Conflict involving Malian government, Islamist groups, and separatist movements, with international intervention | Islam (Mali, Islamist groups); Christianity, Islam (France, Chad, Niger, Mauritania) | Semi-presidential republic (Mali); Presidential republic (France, Chad, Niger, Mauritania) |
| Boko Haram Insurgency | 2009-Present | Nigeria, Cameroon, Niger, Chad | 350,000+ | Islamist insurgency led by Boko Haram and ISWAP, affecting the Lake Chad Basin region | Islam (Boko Haram, ISWAP); Christianity, Islam (Nigeria, Cameroon, Niger, Chad) | Federal presidential republic (Nigeria); Presidential republic (Cameroon, Niger, Chad) |
| Somali Civil War | 1991-Present | Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, African Union | 500,000+ | Ongoing conflict involving Somali government, Al-Shabaab, and various factions | Islam (Somalia, Al-Shabaab); Christianity, Islam (Ethiopia, Kenya) | Federal parliamentary republic (Somalia); Federal parliamentary republic (Ethiopia); Presidential republic (Kenya) |
| Sudan Conflict | 2023-Present | Sudan | N/A | Conflict between Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces, causing significant displacement | Islam (Both sides) | Transitional government (Sudan) |
| Burkina Faso Insurgency | 2015-Present | Burkina Faso | N/A | Islamist insurgency and violence against civilians, with significant displacement | Islam (Insurgents); Christianity, Islam (Burkina Faso) | Presidential republic (Burkina Faso) |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo Conflict | Ongoing | DR Congo, various rebel groups | N/A | Multilayered conflict involving government forces and various militias, including M23 | Christianity, Islam (DR Congo); Various (Rebel groups) | Semi-presidential republic (DR Congo); Rebel groups |
This table now includes the religion and type of government for each side involved in the conflicts. The information is based on the most relevant and available data.
